I woke up at 5:30
this morning in a cold sweat. I realized this is the final week of the WEIS
End Zone Show’s SEC pick ‘em segment, featuring play-by-play announcer Nolen
Sanford, Cherokee Herald sports editor Shannon Fagan and me against some
sci-fi sixth grader who has apparently taken a journey into the future and
returned with a copy of Marty McFly’s Grays Sports Almanac.
I mean, come on. How
else could a 12-year-old out-pick three “experts” like us? This young person
would have to be twice as old as he is to have even seen Marty, Biff and the
gang make their DeLorean-flying debut in 1985, much less know the difference
between the wing-T and a Model T. And now he’s out-picked us all by at least
one game and we’ve had (so far) 92 opportunities to outperform him with our
vast football knowledge?
No way. Someone
needs to make like a tree and get out of here.
Thirteen (as in week
13) darned well BETTER be my lucky number, because the number 12 (as in
12-year-old) has not been. Oh well, as long as I finish ahead of Nolen this
exercise will not have been a total loss. And that, at least, seems assured
– unless I make like an idiot with this week’s picks. If that happens I’ll
hop into my flying wing-T, zoom it up to 88 mph and spend what’s left of
this football season hanging out by the spiked punch bowl at the Enchantment
Under the Sea dance.
No. 2 Alabama
at No. 24 Auburn
I know most football fans believe records and rankings don’t mean anything
in the Iron Bowl, but the comparison between these two teams makes it clear
to me that this game is going to be a blowout. I’ll stop after just one
comparison, because the rest won’t matter: Auburn
is the 98th-ranked rushing defense in the country;
Alabama
averages 220 yards per game on the ground. The end. What I’m saying is that
A.J. McCarron may not have to throw the ball five times all day. On the
other hand, Auburn will have to throw
to have any shot. And that’s too bad, because Auburn is 106th in passing offense and the
Crimson Tide pass defense ranks No. 1 in the nation. Alabama’s been a slow
starter all season but I still predict this one is over after two quarters.
Unlike a year ago, the Tide will make a big halftime lead stick this time.
Final: 31-10, Alabama
No. 3
Arkansas
at No. 1 LSU
I’m having a
hard time imagining how this game will play out. On one hand, I can conceive
that LSU might blow out the Razorbacks like they have pretty much everyone
else on their schedule this season (Alabama
and Mississippi State being the exceptions). On the other
hand, I can see LSU’s back-and-forth quarterback situation getting the
Tigers into a hole on the scoreboard that they can’t climb out, provided the Arkansas offense is
clicking on all cylinders for all four quarters – and they have been playing
very well lately. Just about every other top ten team in the BCS standings
has had a hiccup this season, right? So why shouldn’t I go crazy here? For
the sake of trying to outgun that time-traveling sixth grader, I’ll pull the
trigger on one more major upset.
Final: 24-22, Arkansas
Ole Miss at Mississippi State
OK, I finally officially gave up
on Houston Nutt last week in this column, so there’s no turning back now.
Ole Miss leads this series 60-41-6, but based on what I’ve seen from both
teams this season you have to figure the Bulldogs will close that gap
Saturday at David Wade Stadium in Starkville. Seriously, Ole
Miss isn’t worth a flip at anything. I don’t like the fact that Dan Mullen
is reportedly planning to rotate three quarterbacks in this year’s Egg Bowl,
but at least his team can play a little defense, here and there.
Final: 21-13, Mississippi State
Florida State at
Florida
The headline in the sports section of the Tuesday edition of the Florida
Times-Union said it all: “It’s just a couple of very average teams.” I’ll
second that. Florida State
finally erased six years of misery with last year’s 31-7 win, and has shown
signs of returning to prominence this season, going 7-4 so far. But for the
past couple of weeks, the Seminoles have been settling for field goal
attempts instead of touchdowns – and all you
Alabama
fans out there know what can happen when your offense is forced to settle
for field goal attempts. Florida
racked up 54 points last week, but gave up 32 to FCS opponent Furman. (At
one time, the Gators trailed 22-7 thanks to Furman’s potent triple-option
attack.) I think this game will be fun to watch, and that the home team
finds a way to win in the end. Final:
24-21, Florida
Georgia
at Georgia Tech
After an
impressive turnaround following an ugly 0-2 start, the Bulldogs just barely
eked out a win against lowly
Kentucky
a week ago despite the game being the chance to lock up the SEC East title.
Add to that the fact that I have had Georgia fans tell me all season how
they fear their team’s past tendency to “roll over” in meaningless games –
and let’s face it, this game is meaningless except for the rivalry aspect.
If the Yellow Jackets can get their high-powered offense rolling, the
Ramblin’ Wreck may run right over the Dogs in
Atlanta.
Final: 34-27, Georgia Tech
Tennessee
at Kentucky
Who to choose? Bad, or worse? I’ll go with bad.
Final: 27-13, Tennessee
Clemson at
South Carolina
I’m always giving Nolen a hard time on the WEIS End Zone Show because it’s
so hard for him to pick against his alma mater. This week, I sort of feel
his pain. But my old roommate, now the Clemson coach, had a dismal outing
last week; and South Carolina would love nothing better than
to send Dabo Swinney and the Tigers into the ACC Championship game on a
two-week losing streak. (The Gamecocks have little else to play for,
really.) Last week Clemson was hideously one-dimensional without freshman
phenomenon Sammy Watkins, managing only 34 yards rushing on 28 carries as a
team. This week, despite Clemson’s dismal defense, Watkins will be the
difference … if his aching shoulder holds up. Otherwise, Clemson may end up
dropping three of its last four, thereby pulling yet another aptly-named
“Clemson.” I hope not.
Final: 38-28, Clemson
Vanderbilt at Wake Forest
Statistically, these two teams appear to be about dead-even. Also,
Vanderbilt is the visiting team. And yet, for some reason the odds makers
have the Commodores as a 1.5-point favorite. Whatever. I think Wake Forest
quarterback Tanner Price will be the difference in this one. He’s thrown 19
touchdowns this season against only six interceptions. Vandy is a little
better at running the ball than the Demon Deacons, but they will
be in no position to grind things out if they’re behind by 14 points or so
after Price gets a few shots at the end zone.
Final: 28-21, Wake Forest
Texas
at Texas A&M
The Aggies’ pass defense is terrible, allowing over 290 yards per game. You
might think that’s good news for the Longhorns, but they’ve got a pair of
shaky (so far) quarterbacks and haven’t been able to take advantage of other
porous pass defenses this season. Earlier in the week, a sports columnist
for the Austin Statesman wrote that he’d be satisfied with any outcome, as
long as there is some “craziness”, or maybe even “some controversy” Thursday
night at Kyle Field. Personally, I’ll be watching to see if Longhorns
quarterback Case McCoy can solidify himself as the starter. If he looks
sharp Saturday Texas
will be in great shape to get what could be the last laugh in this
107-year-old rivalry, since A&M joins the SEC next year.
Final: 37-34,
Texas