It’s discouraging
when a perfect week of picking SEC football games (as I am wont to do) still
doesn’t gain me any ground on the mystery 6th grader in this
season-long competition. I’m not sure if this kid’s dad is Danny Sheridan,
but he or she certainly seems to be picking games at a higher percentage
than sheer luck would account for. I think WEIS Radio End Zone Show producer
Kurt Duryea has some explaining to do when this is all over with, because I
smell a rat.
Speaking of Nolen
Sanford, the WEIS Radio play-by-play announcer reached for the cheese a
little too hard last week. Once again (as he is wont to do) he allowed his
JSU alumni status to cloud his vision, resulting in the loss of even more
ground to the rest of us on the panel. Pat Dye once said hindsight is 50-50,
but looking back it seems to me that poor Nolen might have been better off
to simply pass on this contest when Duryea asked him, lest he soon find
himself hovering around .500. I think Nolen’s shaved head is allowing too
much heat and energy to escape from his brain, thus ruining his ability to
properly prognosticate.
Thankfully, I’m still
two or three years away from being forced to resort to the Mr. Clean-like
“chrome dome” look Nolen is sporting these days. When that time comes for
me, I’ll need to borrow the Buck knife he uses for shaving. In the mean
time, Here’s hoping he doesn’t slash my throat with it for taking him to the
(pun alert) cleaners again this week.
No. 10
Arkansas
at Vanderbilt
I think a
couple of teams – Alabama in particular – are probably happy to have played
the Razorbacks early on, while they were still trying to figure out how to
attack the 2011 season after the loss of star running back Knile Davis. His
season-ending injury limited the Hogs’ offense to a single dimension for a
while, and Alabama took advantage of
that in week four. I’d love to pick the Commodores at home, especially after
their convincing win over Army a week ago. But playing in Nashville isn’t exactly the typical SEC venue.
As is typically the case when Vandy hosts an SEC foe, the visitors will have
as many fans in the stands as the home team. I anticipate picking the
Commodores to win a few more games this season (Florida,
Kentucky and Tennessee remain on their schedule and are
all vulnerable) … but not this week.
Final: 34-21, Arkansas
Ole Miss at No. 23 Auburn
It certainly seems appropriate that these two teams should meet on Halloween
weekend. The Dr. Jekyll/Mr. Hyde quality of both must have their coaches and
fans feeling a little frightened right now. The Rebels fired right out of
the gate last week against
Arkansas, but the magical elixir wore off well
before the final gun. If that same team shows up on the Plains Saturday and
sticks around for 60 minutes, I think the Rebels can win the game.
Auburn
has shown little consistency on either side of the ball since the season
began, and the quarterback situation didn’t really get a chance to sort
itself out last week because Clint Moseley spent half the night climbing out
from under a pile of pouncing LSU defenders. In the end, though, I think
Gene Chizik’s team will be better prepared than Houston Nutt’s and will do
once again what the Tigers have done several times over the past two
seasons: find a way to win a game they should probably lose.
Final: 31-27,
Auburn
Missouri
at No. 16 Texas
A&M
I honestly don’t know
why SEC fans are screaming over the addition of Texas A&M to the conference
in 2012. Have you people watched the Aggies play football this year? First
of all, their 5-2 season record is better than over half the teams in the
country’s self-proclaimed “premiere college football conference” (sorry
Auburn,
Florida, Tennessee, et al.). Secondly, almost every
game they’ve played this year has been a barn-burner. You want fireworks?
Gig ‘em. You want last-minute, hair-pulling finishes? Gig ‘em. Mike
Sherman’s guys are fun to watch. Who gives a rat’s rear end about seeing
Vandy and Kentucky chick-slap each other for 60 minutes when the Aggies are
two channels over putting 28 points on someone in the first, giving it back
by halftime, then doing it all over again in the last two quarters? I just
told you what’s going to happen Saturday morning, but all you haters out
there should watch this game and learn to appreciate the Aggies for
yourselves. Final: 48-37, Texas
A&M
Mississippi State at
Kentucky
Speaking of two teams that are probably going to spend 60 minutes
chick-slapping each other … The Bulldogs are coming off a bye week and
needed the rest after a narrow loss to the Gamecocks. Dan Mullen’s team has
only played well this year when they were outmatched. Thus, the Bulldogs
delivered close games against South Carolina (final score 14-12), Auburn
(41-34) and LSU (19-6). When they thought the game was going to be a breeze,
the Bulldogs barely barked at all, the result of which was a sloppy win over
UAB and the need for overtime to get past Louisiana Tech. The Wildcats, who
got clobbered four weeks in a row before getting past Jacksonville State
last week, are bad enough that I don’t except much of an effort from State.
Still, it will be enough. Final: 24-13 Mississippi State
Tennessee
Tech at Jacksonville State
How is it that a guy as mediocre a head coach as Watson Brown has been
throughout his career can still hold down a job in college football? I’m
sure he’s a nice guy, but he has only had five winning seasons in 26 years
(112-178-1 overall). Somewhere out there, Charlie Brown just shouted “Good
grief!” These teams appear to be fairly evenly matched. Both won close games
against UT-Martin, and both won by comfortable margins over their other
common opponent, Eastern Illinois. In his
press conference earlier this week, JSU head coach Jack Crowe (88-78 career
record) stumbled across the thought that cinched my prediction. “I think
this is a pretty even matchup,” Crowe said. “It’s just who is going to bring
their best preparation coming into this game.” I believe Crowe is a better
football coach than Brown. So that’s that.
Final: 34-24, JSU
No. 13 South Carolina
at Tennessee
The Volunteers have lost three in a row and may soon be asking for
volunteers from the crowd at Neyland Stadium to play quarterback. Coach
Derek Dooley, he of the awful orange pants, has already named true freshman
Justin Worley the starter for Saturday because he “wants to try and win some
games.” (You’d think he would have been trying to do that all along.)
Unfortunately, despite having a team that is sub-par in several aspects of
the game, Steve Spurrier’s defense is pretty good against the pass – number
one in the nation, in fact. This one could get ugly, though not as ugly as
those clown pants (retch!) that Dooley will be wearing on the sidelines
Saturday afternoon. Final: 38-10,
South Carolina
No. 22
Georgia
at Florida
My friend Nathan, a total nut job of a Georgia fan, says the Bulldogs have
got this one in the proverbial bag. He thinks Florida quarterback John Brantley’s sprained
ankle might be a little more serious than Wil Muschamp and staff are letting
on. Nathan also believes
Georgia
can control the Gators’ ground game, and I think he’s right about that.
He also reckons Georgia
quarterback Aaron Murray is looking to redeem himself following that
three-interception performance in last year’s 34-31 overtime loss. Nathan
had some other dead-on analysis, too: “If we don’t make any stupid mistakes
on special teams, or in general, I think we pull it off.” But he followed
that with this observation, which is equally apt: “Of course, we always wet
the bed against them which could cost us the game.” Despite all the liquid
that will surely be consumed at the World’s Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party,
I think the doggie diapers hold Saturday in
Jacksonville.
Final: 27-19, Georgia