Well, well. WEIS
Radio sports analyst Nolen Sanford
finally found the bull’s eye with one of his haphazardly-thrown football-pickin’
darts. He went an astounding 8-0 last week, while my efforts were merely
impressive (6-2).
Unlike Nolen,
however, I am consistent and use perception, wisdom and analysis to arrive
at my picks each week. An anonymous source told me Nolen
has already taken so many ill-advised tosses towards the schedule this season that they've had to
re-hang the sheetrock on two walls at the radio station.
I suppose he was bound to hit something, sooner or
later. But slow and steady wins the race. After this week, I’ll have further
closed in on our mystery middle school student and left Nolen and Shannon to
fight it out amongst themselves for third place. Not a happy place to be in
a four-man race, is it guys?
No. 2
Alabama
at Ole Miss
Even more so
that usual, this year’s annual matchup between the Tide and the Rebels will
be a study in stark contrast. The Tide are one of the most complete teams in
the country right now, from running and throwing, to stopping the opponent
at every turn, to special teams, and everything else in between. Houston
Nutt’s guys, on the other hand, often look like they’re taking the field
after skipping the entire week of practice. Uncharacteristically,
Alabama’s offense went three-and-out on its first
two series last week, which prompted coach Nick Saban to say that his team
“didn’t have the mental energy and intensity we like to have.” Poor old Ole
Miss. By kickoff they will have had two weeks to watch film of this
finely-tuned Tide team coming right at them. When the next wave breaks
Saturday night, Saban’s newly-recharged “energy and intensity” will wash
away all the fun from the Grove. Final: 42-10, Alabama
Florida at No. 24 Auburn
Some Auburn
fans are screaming for a change at quarterback, and I have absolutely no
idea why. Barrett Trotter is capable of running the offense and has thrown
the ball reasonably well (79-of-141 passes for 976 yards with nine
touchdowns and six interceptions) this season, notwithstanding his
performance in Saturday’s loss to
Arkansas. Kiehl Frazier, on the other hand, cannot
throw the ball. He can’t do it, folks. Can’t. He’s only attempted five
passes all year and he’s completed the same number of them to opponents
(two) as to his own teammates. There’s no controversy here. Gene Chizik
knows this, which is why, first-thing Tuesday morning, he named Trotter as
this week’s starter. The game plan will be to give the ball to Michael Dyer
and try to run though the Florida defense. Unfortunately for Chizik,
the Gators are only giving up 115 yards a game rushing (eleventh-best in the
nation). Toss in the fact that
Auburn’s defense needs three promotions to suck right
now, and
the Gators get their first win in Jordan-Hare Stadium since 1999.
Final: 33-17,
Florida
No. 1 LSU at
Tennessee
Much like what I anticipate
Alabama
will do between now and Nov. 5, the LSU Tigers will be on autopilot for the
next few weeks. The Tigers’ balanced offense (183 yards rushing per game,
183 yards passing) will score pretty much as often as it wants against
Tennessee’s porous defense, which averages giving up almost exactly as many
yards per game
(345) as LSU averages gaining. With no Tyler Bray at
quarterback, this is the week Derek Dooley’s career record with the Vols
(9-9) slips below .500 – and stays there for a while.
Final: 38-13, LSU
No. 15 South Carolina
at Mississippi State
Speaking of quarterback controversies, the Old Ball Coach solved his this
week by booting the much-maligned and controversy-prone Stephen Garcia off
the team. Now Garcia can concentrate on letting his hair and beard grow out
for the mug shot that now seems more inevitable than ever. Back on the
field, maybe the closing of this chapter for the Gamecocks will help new
starter Connor Shaw (last week’s SEC Offensive Player of the Week, by the
way) and his teammates focus on the fact that they still have the inside
track on their second consecutive visit to the SEC title game. Despite the
breakout performance last week by
backup Tyler Russell,
Mississippi State's mostly middling team won’t be able to do much to
un-track the Gamecocks come Saturday.
Final: 27-12, South Carolina
Georgia
at Vanderbilt
I have already
begun shopping around for a retreaded Bulldog jersey to wear to next week’s show,
since my prediction of a few weeks back that
Georgia
(4-2) would be no better than 3-4 after this week’s game is now a
statistical impossibility. Who knew the Dogs were going to start looking
like a football team after an early beating, or two? Not me, and certainly not all
those Georgia fans who
gave up on Mark Richt after yet another lousy start to another ultimately
disappointing season. Vandy
(3-2) is no slouch right now so, unlike last season’s 43-0 Bulldog blowout
in Athens,
this one may be close for three quarters.
Final: 27-17,
Georgia
No. 20 Baylor at No. 21 Texas A&M
These two teams are very evenly matched, statistically speaking. I think the
outcomes will be decided by which quarterback gets his hands on the ball
last. Will it be the Bears’ Robert Griffin III, who has thrown for over
1,500 yards, with 19 touchdowns and only one interception? Or A&M’s Ryan
Tannehill, who has completed two-thirds of his passes and has almost 1,400
yards? If you want to see a high-scoring game Saturday morning, turn to FX
at 11 a.m. and enjoy the fireworks. The odds makers claim the Aggies are a
nine-point favorite. I think it will be a little closer than that.
Final: 45-41, Texas A&M
Jacksonville State at
Austin
Peay
The Gamecocks (4-1,
3-0) travel to Clarksville, Tenn. to take on Ohio Valley Conference
opponent Austin Peay, a team whose defense gave up 61 points in a loss to
UT-Martin a week ago. According to the Austin Peay Athletics Department
website, the good news is that “AP” was still in the game with five minutes
left before halftime. Much like UT-Martin did from that point on, the JSU
offense exploded a week ago. In their 38-30 win over
Murray
State, the Gamecocks
tallied 486 total yards of offense, including 329 on the ground. If junior
running back Washaun Ealey can match last week’s effort (28 carries for 143
yards), and if Coty Blanchard can take advantage of the Governors’ lousy
pass defense, the Gamecocks should be able to keep their own struggling pass
defenders off the field. Final: 28-14, Jacksonville State