I don’t know how I
knew Auburn was going to beat South Carolina last weekend, but I did. I
just did. I had a feeling, a gut feeling, deep down inside, the first time I
began to conjure in my mind what the outcome of that game in Columbia might be like. Admittedly, I blew it
big-time on the final score. (My humble apologies if you bet the “over”
based on my advice.) But I just knew
I was going to be right about the outcome, somehow.
Probably, it was
nothing more than dumb luck. Consequently, if there’s any such thing as
Karma in the universe I’m likely to lose more than my share of the toss-ups
on this week’s schedule. And make no mistake, there are at least three games
on this list that could absolutely go either way.
Oh, well. Even if I
do miss a few I’ll still be a game or two ahead of Nolen “Dart Over My
Shoulder” Sanford. No picking
blindly, here. Let’s get started.
Vanderbilt at No. 2 Alabama
Former Alabama head coach Gene Stallings is fond of saying that his
preferred type of team is one that can run the football, stop the run, have
a positive giveaway/takeaway ratio and is a good third-down team. Last week,
the Crimson Tide rushed for 226 yards and held
Florida
to only 15; ‘Bama had two takeaways and didn’t give the ball back once; and
behind the leadership of quarterback A.J. McCarron – who’s starting to look
really sharp out there – the Tide offense converted a very respectable 54
percent of third down attempts. Against the Commodores, Alabama’s numbers should be even more
impressive than a week ago. And so should the final score.
Final:
Alabama
45, Vanderbilt 7
No. 15 Auburn
at No. 10 Arkansas
There isn’t a single, solitary Auburn fan who can
honestly tell you that, going
into this season, they ran a pencil down the schedule and circled
South Carolina
as a possible win. The Tigers are young and erratic on both sides of the
ball, but somehow they always seem to find a way to be in the game at the
end. As a result, five weeks into the season,
Auburn
is 4-1. Hogs QB Tyler Wilson lit up the second-half scoreboard in a comeback
win over Texas A&M last week, and if
Auburn
continues this pattern of playing to the level of its competition, we could
have a shootout similar to last year’s 65-43 scoreboard-buster. It’s a coin
toss, but, ultimately, I’m not circling the Tigers this week.
Final: 45-41, Arkansas
No. 17
Florida
at No. 1 LSU
No coin toss
here. With the Gators forced to call on a freshman quarterback because of
John Brantley’s high ankle sprain, I don’t expect this to be much of a game.
Typically, a young QB will lean on his running backs for support. Most
everyone was convinced that
Florida had a
couple of good ones, but they proved little help against the Crimson Tide a
week ago, managing only 15 yards rushing. This week, Florida faces an LSU defense that’s every bit
as stingy on the ground, which means the Gators will have to try and throw
the ball. Did I mention their quarterback is a freshman? Add to the mix
recently reinstated – and thoroughly reinvigorated – Jordan Jefferson, and
this one ought to be over with pretty quickly.
Final: 38-13, LSU
Mississippi State
at UAB
Honestly, I had
forgotten UAB has a football team. OK, that’s not entirely true, because the
Birmingham TV news shows still toss in a few absymal Blazers
highlights at the end of the Sunday night sports broadcast. But since that’s
typically the moment when I flip over to see what’s happening on the History
Channel, I know almost nothing about Neil Calloway’s team. How about that? I
forgot I knew the coach’s name. The sportscaster on NBC 13 must have
mentioned him before I could get my hands on the remote. Actually,
Calloway’s a pretty good coach, or at least he was before he took the job at
the worst school in Alabama to try and recruit football players
to attend. As is typically the case for the Blazers, Saturday’s opponent
will be bigger, faster and stronger.
Final: 27-17, Mississippi
State
Georgia
at Tennessee
Georgia players are heading into this week’s game with a chip on their shoulder because of Tennessee receiver Da’Rick Rogers, who
originally committed to the Bulldogs before switching to the Vols. QB Tyler
Bray said earlier this week that he expects a lot of trash-talking from the
Georgia defense on Saturday. My concern is that the Dogs, though much
improved since week one, might get caught up in their manufactured animosity
and forget to play football. They mouthed off at midfield last week before
the Mississippi
State game, then backed it
up on the field. I’m not so sure a second round of taunting, this time in
Neyland Stadium, will deliver the same result.
Final: 27-23,
Tennessee
Kentucky
at No. 18 South Carolina
Since it is too late to undo the colossal mistake of beginning the season
with Steven Garcia under center, Steve Spurrier couldn’t have picked a
better time to yank his struggling QB than the week the Wildcats come
calling. Look for the Gamcocks to have more offensive success – or at least
fewer interceptions – as they work sophomore signal caller Connor Shaw into
a comfort zone with the help of Kentucky’s lax defense and the Marcus Lattimore’s
outstanding ability to run, catch and run some more. With
Mississippi State
next and an off week on the schedule before a trip to Knoxville at the end of the month, Spurrier
might still be able to get his offense running properly and save the
Gamecocks’ season. Final: 31-17, South Carolina
No. 24 Texas
A&M at Texas
Tech
Yes, it was my
suggestion to go ahead and add Texas A&M (which, in case you’ve been under a
rock, will join the SEC in 2012) to this year’s pick ‘em list. And no, I
don’t know much about the Aggies, except that they have recently proven to
be quite adept at playing a full 60 minutes. Unfortunately, it took them two
games to do it. On Sept. 24 against
Oklahoma
State and again last week against Arkansas, the Aggies ran
up double-digit halftime leads only to give away both contests before the
final buzzer. The second collapse left the Aggies 0-7 against SEC teams
since the Big 12 was formed in 1996. Newsflash: It’s not going to get any
easier next year when the Aggies find themselves lined up against the likes
of Alabama and LSU, one of which will likely be the defending national
champion by then. I probably won’t pick A&M to win those games, either.
Final: 38-31,
Texas
Tech